The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 52.7%
Draw 27.1%
Curicó Unido 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
27.8%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
27.5%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+3%)
San Marcos de Arica - Curicó Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saracho R. (G) 2. Campos R. 34. Barboza A. 14. Guerra C. 5. Rivera J. 8. Barrios A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 33. Benavides E. 19. Maidana A. 16. Reyes G. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
22. Tello D. (C) 14. Medina C. 4. Colombo R. 3. Sarria G. 37. Guzman R. 21. Ormeno E. 15. Sanhueza H. 43. Gutierrez F. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C. 18. Perez F.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 39. Gallegos V. 17. Moya Godoy M. 23. Orrego N. 24. Pereira D. 10. Sagredo B. 11. Zedan N.
11. Aliaga I. 19. de La Fuente R. 17. Inostroza B. 23. Lopez L. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 5. Veglio B. 1. Vergara T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Rivera J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Sarria G. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
56', Gutierrez F. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
60', Benavides E. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Reyes G. ⚽,
71', Fernandez N. ↓, Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↑,
72', Perez F. ↓, de La Fuente R. ↑,
72', Maidana A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
72', Reyes G. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
79', Sanhueza H. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
83', Lopez L. 🟥,
87', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
87', Rencoret C. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Zedan N. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0.
San Marcos de Arica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Curicó Unido's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, San Marcos de Arica is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
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Saracho R. (G) 
Campos R. 
Barboza A. 
Zedan N. 
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