The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Tucumán 57.5%
Draw 29.1%
Club Almagro 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
27.8%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
26.6%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Manganelli N. (G) 4. Salazar V. 6. Parnisari E. 2. Ferreyra N. 3. Ayala R. 10. Carabajal G. 5. Brinone S. 8. Graneros A. 7. Veliez A. 11. Cabrera B. 9. Arfaras L.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Vitale J. 6. Busto L. 3. Silcan E. 8. Bustos J. 11. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 10. Bustamante F. 9. Martinez E. 7. Orlando J.
Substitutes
15. Castro N. 20. Diellos D. 14. Gallardo N. 16. Juarez J. 18. Monroy G. 13. Rodriguez G. 19. Rodriguez G. 17. Rodriguez L. 12. Sand D. (G)
14. Chamorro S. 13. Cortave M. 20. Dornell T. 17. Fernandes J. 16. Laba M. 19. Palacio P. 18. Salto C. 15. Tolosa N. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Carabajal G. ⚽,
22', Marchioni J. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Veliez A. ⚽, Cabrera B. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Arfaras L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vitale J. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
46', Marchioni J. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
46', Martinez E. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
47', Arfaras L. 🟨,
58', Bustos J. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
60', Arfaras L. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
72', Veliez A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
72', Cabrera B. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
72', Salto C. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
80', Graneros A. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
88', Carabajal G. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 2.
San Martin T has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almagro is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Martin T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Martin T has had a series of away games.
Recently, Almagro has had a series of home games.
In this match, San Martin T is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Club Almagro - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 17.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.