Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Hardtwaldstadion (Sandhausen)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sandhausen		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	10	5.75	1.29	Watch
	8.25	5.75	1.32	Watch
	8	6	1.29
	9	6.05	1.32
	8.5	5.5	1.2	Watch
	8.3	5.95	1.3	Watch
	8.4	6.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.64 ↑ (6.02)	5.89 ↑ (5.04)	1.29 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sandhausen
10.9%

Draw
16%

Hamburger SV
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

18.8%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.2%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Sandhausen - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drewes P. (G) 3. Dumic D. 25. Diakhite O. 2. Zhirov A. 18. Diekmeier D. (C) 6. Omer El-Zein A. 24. Papela M. 20. Calhanoglu K. 26. Bachmann J. 8. Kinsombi C. 38. Evina F.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 3. Heyer M. 34. David J. 4. Schonlau B. 28. Muheim M. 8. Benes L. 23. Meffert J. 10. Kittel S. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.
Substitutes
29. Ademi K. 19. Ajdini B. 37. Ganda J. 15. Hohn I. 36. Okoroji C. 9. Pulkrab M. 33. Rehnen N. (G) 22. Ritzmaier M. 27. Sicker A.	7. Bilbija F. 42. Heil O. 47. Kisilowski N. 46. Krahn E. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 16. Montero F. 19. Raab M. (G) 36. Suhonen A. 37. Zumberi V.
Coaches
Kleppinger G.	Walter T.

Preview

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (97.03%), project points - 29, currently - 28, already of relegated.

Hamburg has the most likely position - 3 (68.68%), project points - 65, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (50%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, importance 50, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 1.

Sandhausen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sandhausen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamburg is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Heidenheim - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Sandhausen - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Sandhausen - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Sandhausen - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:5 ✺
05.05.23	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
21.04.23	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	4:2
19.02.22	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	1:1
11.09.21	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	2:1
22.04.21	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	2:1
15.12.20	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	4:0
28.06.20	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	1:5
15.12.19	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	1:1

Upcoming Matches