Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Santa Clara		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	6	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.77	3.45	5.57
	2.10	2.42	5.72	Watch
				Watch
	1.79	3.21	6.22	Watch
	1.72	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	5.64 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
52.8%

Draw
30.3%

Alverca
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

29%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

28.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santa Clara - Alverca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Alverca (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 3 - 75%). Alverca (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 21. Venancio F. 32. MT 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 3. Matheus Pereira 11. Brenner 70. Vinicius Lopes 10. Gabriel Silva	13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 3. Martinez J. 2. Touaizi N. 8. Amorim 21. Abdulai S. 55. Chissumba 18. Lincoln 9. Marezi 20. Figueiredo
Substitutes
9. Carter A. 2. Diogo Calila 7. Elias Manoel 8. Ferreira P. 28. Luquinhas 12. Neneca (G) 13. Rocha L. 65. Tavares J. 29. Wendell	28. Cabezas G. 22. Esteves G. 6. Gui D. 12. James I. 19. Leite T. 31. Mateus Oliveira (G) 33. Meupiyou B. 11. Nuozzi C. 91. Sandro Lima
Coaches
Matos V.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Gomes A. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Serginho (Pen),
19', 1 - 1, Lincoln ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
27', Marezi 🟨,
28', Amorim 🟨,
32', Lucas Soares 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Chissumba 🟨,
52', Serginho 🟨,
56', Chissumba ↓, James I. ↑,
58', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
58', Gabriel Silva ↓, Carter A. ↑,
60', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
68', Luquinhas 🟨,
68', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
69', Amorim ↓, Gui D. ↑,
69', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
71', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
72', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
75', Brenner ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
81', Lincoln ↓, Leite T. ↑,
82', Diogo Calila 🟨,
87', Carter A. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, MT ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Santa Clara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alverca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Clara is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury) Paulo Victor (Red Card)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Martinez J. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
12.09.25	Benfica - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Santa Clara - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTTL
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
12.09.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Alverca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Estrela da Amadora - Alverca	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Alverca - Braga	0:3 ✺
10.08.25	Moreirense - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLL

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