Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santos		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.33	1.62
	3.75	3.75	1.7
	4.48	4.21	1.64
	4.11	4.17	1.72	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.75
	4.57	4.33	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.27)	4.08 ↑ (3.86)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
22.5%

Draw
22.6%

RB Leipzig
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

23.9%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santos - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Paulo (G) 22. Barreal A. 31. Escobar G. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 25. Luisao 10. Neymar (C) 32. Rollheiser B. 16. Thaciano 9. Tiquinho Soares 2. Ze Ivaldo	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 14. Baumgartner C. 5. Bitshiabu E. 44. Kampl K. 21. Nedeljkovic K. 7. Nusa A. 11. Openda L. 4. Orban W. (C) 22. Raum D. 13. Seiwald N. 10. Simons X.
Substitutes
36. Deivid Washington 21. Diego Pituca 12. Diogenes (G) 47. Enzo Boer 70. Gabriel Veron 29. Godoy L. 17. Gustavo Henrique 20. Hyan 42. Joao Alencar 3. Joao Basso 82. Joao Fernandes (G) 37. Kenay Martins 38. Kevyson 35. Padula	17. Baku R. 3. Geertruida L. 1. Gulacsi P. (G) 34. Langsteiner T. 45. Norbye J. 20. Ouedraogo A. 29. Ramsak R. 18. Vermeeren A. 48. Voufack L. 38. Walther M. 25. Zingerle L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Simons X. ⚽,
41', Luisao 🟨,
45+1', Escobar G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Joao Basso ↑,
46', Escobar G. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
46', Neymar ↓, Hyan ↑,
46', Barreal A. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
46', Thaciano ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
46', Vandevoordt M. ↓, Zingerle L. ↑,
46', Orban W. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
46', Raum D. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
46', Kampl K. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
46', Seiwald N. ↓, Voufack L. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Openda L. ⚽,
61', Nusa A. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
62', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
62', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Kenay Martins ↑,
62', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Padula ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Simons X. ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Hyan ⚽,
71', Simons X. ↓, Langsteiner T. ↑,
72', Baumgartner C. ↓, Walther M. ↑,
72', Openda L. ↓, Ramsak R. ↑,
72', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Norbye J. ↑,
81', Joao Paulo ↓, Diogenes ↑,
81', Luisao ↓, Joao Alencar ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Santos has had a series of away games.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Vitória Salvador - Santos	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	CRB Maceio - Santos	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Corinthians - Santos	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Santos - Ceará	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Grêmio - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTL
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT

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