Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus


	Sassuolo		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5
	1.68	3.9	4.6	Watch
	1.68	4.17	5.16
	1.62	4.08	4.89	Watch
	1.6	4	5
	1.65	4.15	4.91	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)	4.05 ↓ (4.16)	4.86 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
57.3%

Draw
23.3%

Carrarese
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	5.3%	26.3%

Sassuolo - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Carrarese (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Carrarese (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 25%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 20. Lovato M. 80. Muharemovic T. 15. Pieragnolo E. 7. Volpato C. 14. Obiang P. 35. Lipani L. 77. Pierini N. 9. Mulattieri S. 99. Verdi S.	1. Bleve M. (G) 5. Melegoni F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 6. Oliana F. 20. Giovane S. 13. Bouah D. 77. Belloni N. 19. Shpendi S.
Substitutes
10. Berardi D. 11. Boloca D. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 36. Mazzitelli L. 2. Missori F. 31. Moldovan H. (G) 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 5. Velthuis T.	82. Capezzi L. 90. Cerri L. 9. Cherubini L. 11. Cicconi M. 21. Coppolaro M. 98. Fiorillo V. (G) 47. Fontanarosa A. 34. Guarino G. 28. Manzari G. 10. Milanese T. 18. Schiavi N. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Verdi S. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
41', Oliana F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zanon S. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
46', Oliana F. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,
60', Belloni N. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
61', Mulattieri S. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
61', Verdi S. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
62', Pierini N. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
64', Imperiale M. 🟥,
68', Zuelli E. ↓, Fontanarosa A. ↑,
69', Volpato C. ↓, Berardi D. ↑,
79', Lipani L. ↓, Boloca D. ↑,
79', Giovane S. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Boloca D. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

Sassuolo is Qualified for Serie A

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Sassuolo had a set of guest games.

In this match, Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Inactive) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Missori F. (Inactive) Thorstvedt K. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Carrarese: Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Sassuolo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Cesena - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Modena - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Palermo - Sassuolo	5:3 ✺
29.03.25	Sassuolo - Reggiana	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Carrarese - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Carrarese - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Cittadella - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Carrarese - Bari	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.09.24	Carrarese - Sassuolo	0:2

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