The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 24.7%
Draw 25.6%
Borussia Dortmund 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
22.1%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
22.6%
57.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schalke 04 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.2%
7%
79.8%
Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(91 of 114 users predict this - 79.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.45% – 87.19%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (31.32%), has project points - 30, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (53.09%), has project points - 68, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (96%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
This event has quality68, importance55, match rating62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
There will not play in Schalke: Drexler D.
(Hip Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Latza D.
(Muscle Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Groin Injury)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Skarke T.
(Leg Injury)
Uronen J.
(Groin Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K.
(Thigh Injury)
Brandt J.
(Muscle Injury)
Duranville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kamara A.
(Knee Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Moukoko Y.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Schalke: Brunner C.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Reus M.
(Illness)
Last 21 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-37.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.
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