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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 54.9%
Draw 23.9%
Borussia Dortmund 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
25.2%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
26.2%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56%
12.1%
31.9%
Chelsea - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Users Predictions:
141 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 79 - 56%). Borussia D will win (votes: 45 - 31.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 12.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 47.8% โ 64.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Chelsea is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Borussia D is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chelsea has currently - 13, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Borussia D has currently - 9, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (65%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has big quality79, very big importance94, big match rating87. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Chelsea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia D in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Borussia D could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
There will not play in Chelsea: Aubameyang P.
(Inactive)
Badiashile B.
(Inactive)
Broja A.
(Knee Injury)
Kante N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Madueke N.
(Inactive)
Mendy E.
(Finger Injury)
Mount M.
(Yellow Cards)
Silva T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K.
(Thigh Injury)
Duranville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kamara A.
(Knee Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Moukoko Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Ryerson J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Azpilicueta C.
(Head Injury)
James R.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Kobel G.
(Hip Injury)
Malen D.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.