Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Crawley Town		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.75
	1.73	3.7	4.5
	1.7	3.85	4.75
	1.74	3.55	4.5
	1.75	3.86	4.84
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.78	3.9	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.74 ↓ (3.83)	4.68 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
54.5%

Draw
25.3%

Scunthorpe United
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Crawley Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Crawley has the most likely position - 12 (16.92%), has project points - 62, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (93.45%), has project points - 32, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has very small quality 6, very small importance 8, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3.

Recent matches Crawley is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scunthorpe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crawley have a series of home games.

In this match Crawley is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
01.03.22	Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Crawley Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
08.02.22	Harrogate Town - Crawley Town	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWLWT
- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
26.02.22	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	4:1 ✺
22.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Swindon Town - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
08.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Walsall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.10.21	Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town	2:1
02.04.21	Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town	0:0
19.09.20	Crawley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0
01.02.20	Crawley Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Crawley Town - Scunthorpe United	4:1
English League Two
17.08.19	Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town	2:2
English League One
11.04.15	Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town	2:1

Upcoming Matches