The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 58.9%
Draw 23.9%
Scunthorpe United 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
23.2%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.2%
19.2%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Swindon Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Swindon has the most likely position - 8 (10.34%), has project points - 68, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (73.69%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Scunthorpe have a series of home games.
In this match Swindon is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Swindon won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.