Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Scunthorpe United		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.2	3.1	1.93
	4.5	3.3	1.88
	4	3.1	1.97
	4.38	3.29	1.99
	4	3.25	1.95
	4.4	3.38	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.68)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	1.94 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
22.1%

Draw
29%

Northampton Town
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.9%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scunthorpe United - Northampton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (87.33%), has project points - 32, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (31.7%), has project points - 80, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (64%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has very small quality 6, importance 47, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2.

Scunthorpe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Northampton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Northampton is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
19.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Swindon Town - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
08.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Walsall	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	Port Vale - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Northampton Town
English League Two
19.02.22	Northampton Town - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Port Vale - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Northampton Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Walsall - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
01.02.22	Northampton Town - Barrow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.09.21	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:0
28.01.20	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	3:0
12.10.19	Scunthorpe United - Northampton Town	3:0
English League One
17.02.18	Scunthorpe United - Northampton Town	2:2
18.11.17	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3
English FA Cup
14.11.17	Scunthorpe United - Northampton Town	1:0
04.11.17	Northampton Town - Scunthorpe United	0:0

Upcoming Matches