Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Scunthorpe United		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.33	1.44
	7.5	4.2	1.43
	8.5	4	1.43
	7.2	4.2	1.43
	8.58	4.28	1.45
	7.5	4.2	1.44
	8.2	4.6	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8 ↑ (4.6)	4.26 ↑ (3.46)	1.44 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
11.9%

Draw
22.3%

Stevenage Borough
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.3%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Scunthorpe United - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (100%), has project points - 26, has currently - 24, was already of relegated.

Stevenage has the most likely position - 21 (36.74%), has project points - 46, has currently - 40, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 4, small importance 19, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 1.

Scunthorpe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
15.04.22	Leyton Orient - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Scunthorpe United - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
02.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	0:3 ✺
19.03.22	Salford City - Scunthorpe United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
15.04.22	Stevenage Borough - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Colchester United - Stevenage Borough	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Stevenage Borough - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.12.21	Stevenage Borough - Scunthorpe United	1:1
08.05.21	Scunthorpe United - Stevenage Borough	0:1
02.01.21	Stevenage Borough - Scunthorpe United	3:1
02.11.19	Scunthorpe United - Stevenage Borough	0:0
English League One
26.02.13	Scunthorpe United - Stevenage Borough	1:0
06.10.12	Stevenage Borough - Scunthorpe United	1:0
21.01.12	Scunthorpe United - Stevenage Borough	N/A

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