Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Belgium, Pickx+ Belgium, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 2
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN 5 Norte, SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Family, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	03:00	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 1 ROI, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app


	Atalanta		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.9
	3.9	3.6	1.9
	4.05	3.65	1.92
	4.09	3.65	1.95
	4.05	3.54	1.98	Watch
	4	3.7	1.91
	4.23	3.76	1.9
	4.05	3.65	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.91)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
23.7%

Draw
26.3%

Arsenal
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	10.1%	82.8%

Atalanta - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (82 of 99 users predict this - 82.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.4% – 90.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 22. Ruggeri M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M. 11. Lookman A.	22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 12. Timber J. 41. Rice D. 5. Partey T. 29. Havertz K. 7. Saka B. 9. Gabriel Jesus (C) 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
16. Bellanova R. 44. Brescianini M. 7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 3. Kossounou O. 27. Palestra M. 8. Pasalic M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 24. Samardzic L. 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.	37. Butler-Oyedeji N. 33. Calafiori R. 44. Gower J. 20. Jorginho 15. Kiwior J. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 32. Neto (G) 53. Nwaneri E. 56. Oulad M'Hand S. 92. Porter J. (G) 30. Sterling R. 19. Trossard L.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ederson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Retegui M. (Pen),
58', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
58', Partey T. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
60', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
70', Retegui M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
70', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
73', Saka B. ↓, Sterling R. ↑,
73', Timber J. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
89', Ruggeri M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
89', Lookman A. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Atalanta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Godfrey B. (Back Injury) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Toloi R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Merino M. (Shoulder Injury) Odegaard M. (Ankle Injury) Tierney K. (Muscle Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
15.09.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	3:2 ✺
30.08.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0 ✺
25.08.24	Torino - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Lecce - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
14.08.24	Real Madrid - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
15.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Emirates Cup
11.08.24	Arsenal - Lyon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

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