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Current Win Probability
Newport County 39.4%
Draw 29.6%
Shrewsbury Town 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.5%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
27.5%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport County's performance.
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
15.4%
23.1%
Newport County - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 42.8% – 80.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newport County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 18. Shephard L. 4. Baker M. (C) 23. Delaney R. 17. Davies T. 2. Evans C. 5. Sprangler S. 20. Lloyd B. 8. Smith M. 7. Kamwa B. 16. Crole J.
1. Cox M. (G) 30. Berkoe K. 26. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 25. Ruffels J. 3. Benning M. 10. Sang T. 11. Scully A. 14. Perry T. 9. Lloyd G. 19. Morgan I.
Substitutes
9. Baker-Richardson C. 6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 19. Garner G. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 24. Opoku N. 12. Thomas J.
4. Anderson T. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 48. Ihionvien B. 20. Kabia I. 27. Marquis J. 7. McDermott T.
Coaches
Fuchs Ch.
Cowan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Benning M. 🟨,
44', Sang T. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
45+4', Evans C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Kamwa B. ⚽, Davies T. (A),
69', Lloyd G. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
70', Benning M. ↓, Kabia I. ↑,
71', Boyle W. 🟨,
73', Smith M. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
74', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
76', Scully A. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
86', Crole J. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
87', Lloyd B. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
90+1', Garner G. 🟨,
90+3', Perry T. 🟨,
90+4', Evans C. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 and 19).
Newport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Newport might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Jenkins L.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
United-kingdom
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Wright J. (G) 
Shephard L. 
Delaney R. 
Sprangler S. 
Kamwa B. 
Boyle W. (C) 
Opoku N. 
Kabia I. 
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