Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Sol de América		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.37	2.87	2.8
	2.65	3.05	2.7	Watch
	3.12	2.87	2.63
	2.94	2.88	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.56	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.42)	2.98 ↑ (2.92)	2.72 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América
34.6%

Draw
31.2%

Sportivo Ameliano
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bordon Ortega M. F. (G) 21. Barrios V. 2. Gimenez G. (C) 17. Ojeda J. 14. Diaz F. 25. Diaz F. 37. Rotela Duarte E. M. 3. Aguayo A. 11. Ortiz L. 9. Fernandez D. 29. Cabrera L.	1. Cristoforo F. (G) 3. Baez F. 26. Gonzalez J. 4. Gutierrez T. 19. Paredes A. 15. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 6. Zaracho E. (C) 10. Bogado G. 17. Torales Richard 32. Servian A. 9. Ocampos C.
Substitutes
8. Amarilla C. 33. Banegas J. F. 15. Benites K. 34. Castro M. 4. Delvalle R. 40. Dietze S. 39. Dupuy S. 26. Franco W. 16. Gimenez A. 36. Medina B. (G) 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R.	31. Aquino M. 27. Barja B. 13. Cabrera W. 40. Contrera A. 20. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 28. Gonzalez Coronel J. C. 36. Leon M. 5. Maiz A. 7. Samudio A. 35. Sanchez A. (G) 21. Sarquis E. 29. Valdez I.
Coaches
Torres R.	Bobadilla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Servian A. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Amarilla C. ↑,
57', Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
57', Ocampos C. ↓, Barja B. ↑,
62', Diaz F. ↓, Roa R. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Cabrera L. ⚽, Ojeda J. (A),
67', Rotela Duarte E. M. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
77', Zaracho E. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
77', Torales Richard ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
83', Aguayo A. ↓, Dupuy S. ↑,
83', Ortiz L. ↓, Franco W. ↑,
84', Samudio A. 🟥,
89', Roa R. 🟨,
90', Bogado G. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sol de América won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.11.24	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Trinidense	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
30.10.24	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTWL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	1:0
03.06.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1
18.03.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	2:1
01.11.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	2:1
03.09.22	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
01.07.22	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1
21.04.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	3:1

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