Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Southend United		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.65
	5	3.5	1.72
	5.25	3.85	1.65
	5	3.55	1.66
	5.43	3.75	1.72
	5.25	3.5	1.67
	5.5	3.72	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southend United
18%

Draw
25.9%

Port Vale
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.7%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

22.3%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	8.3%	79.2%

Southend United - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs)).

Southend has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Port Vale has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Southend has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Port Vale is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Port Vale is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southend won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English League Two
27.10.20	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.10.20	Tranmere Rovers - Southend United	2:0 ✺
20.10.20	Salford City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
17.10.20	Southend United - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
10.10.20	Southend United - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT
- Port Vale
English League Two
27.10.20	Port Vale - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Oldham Athletic - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Cambridge United - Port Vale	3:1 ✺
17.10.20	Port Vale - Salford City	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Port Vale - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.17	Southend United - Port Vale	1:1
13.08.16	Port Vale - Southend United	2:0
26.02.16	Port Vale - Southend United	3:1
10.10.15	Southend United - Port Vale	1:0
English League Two
09.03.13	Port Vale - Southend United	1:2
10.11.12	Southend United - Port Vale	0:0

Upcoming Matches