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Current Win Probability
Sparta Prague 38.9%
Draw 26.5%
AZ Alkmaar 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
26.3%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
27.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.7%
26.7%
36.7%
Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 19.5% – 53.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
TQ, OT - AZ (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 1 - 33.3%). AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Surovcik J. (G) 17. Sonne O. 16. Uchenna E. 30. Zeleny J. (C) 3. Kaderabek P. 38. Sochurek H. 6. Kairinen K. 18. Irving A. 10. Kuchta J. 7. Mercado J. 29. Vojta M.
41. Zoet J. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 17. Jensen I. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.
Substitutes
35. Azaka L. 5. Eneme S. 22. Haraslin L. 61. Kerl Dan. (G) 36. Kuol G. 51. Moudry L. 27. Panak F. 32. Pech S. 60. Rodriguez P. (G) 9. Rrahmani A. 25. Sorensen A.
74. Boogaard K. 31. Deen D. (G) 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 18. Ichihara R. 35. Meerdink M. 24. Oufkir A. 11. Sadiq I. 33. Sin M. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati
Coaches
Priske B.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Jensen I. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Irving A. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
55', Jensen I. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Parrott T. ⚽, Kasius D. (A),
61', Kasius D. 🟨,
62', 0 - 3, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
65', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
68', Kaderabek P. ↓, Panak F. ↑,
68', Vojta M. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
73', 0 - 4, Daal R. ⚽, Parrott T. (A),
76', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
76', Smit K. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
81', Kuchta J. 🟨,
81', Kairinen K. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
81', Kuchta J. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
81', Daal R. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
82', Jensen I. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
86', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sparta Prague will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Knee Injury)
Chavez J.
(Inactive)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Grimaldo J.
(Inactive)
Mannsverk S.
(Injury)
Martinec J.
(Inactive)
Mensah I.
(Inactive)
Penxa O.
(Knee Injury)
Sevinsky A.
(Muscle Injury)
Vindahl P.
(Foot Injury)
Vydra P.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Rynes M.
(Muscle Injury)
Uchenna E.
(Health problems)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Sparta Prague - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.