Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Spokane Velocity		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.02
	3.57	3.13	2
	3.73	3.47	1.91	Watch
	3.55	3.13	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
25.4%

Draw
28.4%

Sacramento Republic
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.6%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilichuk R. (G) 13. Opara L. 4. Garcia D. 12. Miller C. 15. Jome I. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 17. John-Brown S. 10. Gil L. (C) 7. Akale M. 9. Brett N.	99. Mazzola J. (G) 5. Timmer J. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. 2. Gurr J. 19. Ross N. 8. Lopez R. (C) 22. Benitez M. 10. Parano C. 9. Herrera J. 11. Cicerone R.
Substitutes
3. Crisler J. 2. Gil J. 14. Hernandez M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 42. Meredith B. 16. Pelaez A. 8. Vinyals N. 22. Wells R.	23. Edwards A. 96. Luis Felipe 55. Ukaegbu C. 1. Vitiello D. (G) 17. Wanner D. 20. Willey B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Miller C. 🟨,
61', Kleemann F. 🟨,
64', Gil L. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
64', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
69', Kleemann F. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
69', Herrera J. ↓, Bennett K. ↑,
75', Fernandez C. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
80', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
80', Cicerone R. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
82', Willey B. 🟨,
83', Benitez M. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
87', Akale M. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Spokane have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sacramento Republic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Spokane has had a series of away games.

Sacramento Republic could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
19.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	3:0 ✺
16.07.25	Westchester SC - Spokane Velocity	2:3 ✺
02.07.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity	2:0 ✺
USL League One
21.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLW
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
19.07.25	Sacramento Republic - Lexington	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
21.06.25	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLW

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