Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 1d 6h 📅 Remind Me


	Moquegua		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.25	3.75	1.52
	6.1	3.95	1.5	Watch
	5.84	3.85	1.55
	5.7	3.84	1.55	Watch
	5.7	3.75	1.51
	5.94	3.74	1.55
	5.6	3.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↓ (5.9)	3.8 ↓ (3.81)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
16%

Draw
24.2%

Alianza Lima
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.7%

24.4%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Moquegua - Alianza Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 7th).

Recent results have been tough for Moquegua (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alianza Lima has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moquegua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza Lima has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Alianza Lima is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moquegua has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza Lima	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
16	Moquegua	12	2	4	6	8:19	-11	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
18.10.26	Cajamarca - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
08.10.26	Moquegua - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Moquegua	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Moquegua - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
17.10.26	Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Cusco - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.09.26	Alianza Lima - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.26	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.26	Alianza Lima - Moquegua	2:1

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