Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sporting Lisbon		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.8
	2.35	3.6	2.8
	2.5	3.55	2.88
	2.38	3.6	2.85
	2.41	3.74	2.94
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.38	3.68	2.91
	2.41	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
39.9%

Draw
26.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.4%	21.3%	21.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 35 - 57.4%). Eintracht will win (votes: 13 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 45% – 69.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sporting has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a chance of 2nd (41%), has a small chance of 3rd (12%), has a good chance of round of 16 (67%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Eintracht has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (20%), has a small chance of 2nd (12%), has a chance of 3rd (42%), has a chance of round of 16 (33%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Sporting is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eintracht is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Morita H. (Injury) Neto (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Buta (Knee Injury) Hasebe M. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
29.10.22	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
22.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Varzim - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.10.22	Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLL
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
29.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Stuttgarter Kickers - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Sporting Lisbon	0:3

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