Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport+
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:00	myTV SUPER
Hungary	21:00	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Exxen
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	EFL iFollow, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Sunderland		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.95
	2.42	3.45	2.86	Watch
	2.52	3.46	2.94
	2.5	3.36	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.2
	2.51	3.34	2.88	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.1)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
39.5%

Draw
28.1%

Coventry City
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Sunderland - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Coventry will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Coventry (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Coventry (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 10. Roberts P. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Isidor W.	13. Wilson B. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 11. Wright H. 10. Mason-Clark E.
Substitutes
20. Abdul Samed S. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 26. Mepham C. 21. Moore S. (G) 14. Mundle R. 11. Rigg C. 40. Watson T.	8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 2. Binks L. 40. Collins B. (G) 28. Eccles J. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 12. Paterson J. 9. Simms E. 23. Thomas-Asante B.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Isidor W. 🟨,
24', Sheaf B. 🟨,
31', Roberts P. 🟨,
33', Thomas B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Bellingham J. 🟨,
68', Wilson B. 🟨,
73', Sheaf B. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Mason-Clark E. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
78', Le Fee E. 🟨,
83', Isidor W. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Roberts P. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
109', Rigg C. 🟨,
110', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
117', Eccles J. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
120+1', Cirkin D. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
120+2', 1 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Le Fee E. (A),
120+4', Ballard D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.

Sunderland has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coventry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Torp V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Isidor W. (Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Bassette N. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
09.05.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Oxford United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLL
- Coventry City
English League Championship
09.05.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Luton Town - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.05.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	1:2
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0
09.11.24	Sunderland - Coventry City	2:2
23.12.23	Sunderland - Coventry City	0:3
26.08.23	Coventry City - Sunderland	0:0
25.02.23	Coventry City - Sunderland	2:1
31.07.22	Sunderland - Coventry City	1:1

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