Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.4	Watch
	2.35	3	3.3
	2.43	2.92	3.36	Watch
	2.46	2.98	3.49
	2.38	2.98	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.32	3.06	3.66	Watch
	2.43	2.92	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)	2.97 ↓ (3.17)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
40%

Draw
32%

Sunderland
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	15.6%	4.4%

Sheffield United - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 36 - 81.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 1 - 2.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 70.4% – 93.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sheff Utd (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Sheff Utd (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Sunderland (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Sunderland (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheffield United will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Sunderland (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 24. Choudhury H. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 19. Robinson J. (C) 14. Burrows H. 7. Brewster R. 42. Peck S. 21. Vini Souza 8. Hamer G. 9. Moore K. 23. Campbell T.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 5. Ballard D. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 14. Mundle R. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
20. Brereton Diaz B. 35. Brooks A. 28. Cannon T. 17. Davies A. (G) 22. Davies T. 5. Holding R. 3. McCallum S. 10. O'Hare C. 38. Seriki F.	20. Abdul Samed S. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 26. Mepham C. 21. Moore S. (G) 10. Roberts P. 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Wilder C.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', O'Nien L. ↓, Mepham C. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Rigg C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
59', Brewster R. 🟨,
65', Brewster R. ↓, Brooks A. ↑,
65', Campbell T. ↓, O'Hare C. ↑,
68', Mundle R. 🟨,
72', Hamer G. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
73', Mundle R. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
73', Neil D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Mayenda E. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
85', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
90', Peck S. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
90', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Cannon T. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Watson T. ⚽,
90+6', Watson T. 🟨,
90+7', Ahmedhodzic A. ↓, Seriki F. ↑,
90+8', Mayenda E. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
90+8', Cirkin D. 🟨,

Preview

Playing at Wembley Stadium.

Sheff Utd is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 3.

Sheff Utd is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sunderland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sheff Utd will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Clarke H. (Inactive) Norrington-Davies R. (Groin Injury) Sachdev S. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Alese A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Huggins N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
12.05.25	Sheffield United - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
08.05.25	Bristol City - Sheffield United	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Sheffield United - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Stoke City - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Burnley - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWL
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
13.05.25	Sunderland - Coventry City	1:1 ET ✺
09.05.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Oxford United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.25	Sunderland - Sheffield United	2:1
29.11.24	Sheffield United - Sunderland	1:0
15.03.23	Sunderland - Sheffield United	1:2
17.08.22	Sheffield United - Sunderland	2:1
English League Cup
25.09.19	Sheffield United - Sunderland	0:1
English League Championship
26.12.17	Sheffield United - Sunderland	3:0
09.09.17	Sunderland - Sheffield United	1:2

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