Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Sporting de Gijón		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.6	3.65	5.3	Watch
	1.67	3.81	5.7
	1.62	3.82	5.71	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.66	3.79	5.66	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	5.39 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
57.3%

Draw
25.3%

Mirandés
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

20.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Mirandés (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Mirandés (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Mirandés (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 12. Olivan B. 36. Rodriguez M. 6. Nacho Martin 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 19. Otero J. (C) 10. Gelabert Pina C.	13. Juanpa (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 24. Cordoba I. 15. Cabello J. 28. Hernandez J. 16. Clua S. 26. Bauza R. 17. Perez P. 10. Fernandez C. 14. Mari A.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 18. Coundoul A. 9. Ferrari A. 34. Garcia A. D. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.	18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 30. El Jebari S. 6. Helguera T. 29. Houary A. 8. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Muneta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Cordoba I. 🟨,
25', Nacho Martin 🟨,
44', Cordoba I. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Otero J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Fernandez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Dubasin J. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Nacho Martin ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
65', Clua S. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
67', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
72', Dubasin J. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Rosas G. ⚽, Corredera A. (A),
74', Tamarit T. ↓, Novoa Ramos H. ↑,
74', Mari A. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
76', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
77', Corredera A. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
77', Rosas G. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
78', Bauza R. ↓, Houary A. ↑,
79', Perez P. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 3.

Recent performances by Sporting de Gijón have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mirandés has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sporting de Gijón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Campos G. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive) Varela I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
18.01.26	Mirandés - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandés - Almería	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
18.04.25	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:1
18.12.24	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
07.04.24	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	1:3
20.08.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0
12.03.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:4

Upcoming Matches