Match Info

MLS

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	St. Louis City		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.25
	2.78	3.7	2.38	Watch
	2.84	3.76	2.46
				Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.25
	2.77	3.85	2.38	Watch
	2.78	3.7	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.95)	3.72 ↓ (3.72)	2.35 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
34%

Draw
25.6%

Orlando City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

St. Louis City - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - St. Louis City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Orlando City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Orlando City (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 14. Totland T. 22. Hiebert K. 32. Baumgartl T. 99. Reid J. 20. Watts A. 11. Becher S. 17. Hartel M. 36. Teuchert C. 9. Joao Klauss 12. Pompeu C.	1. Gallese P. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 4. Brekalo D. 6. Jansson R. (C) 24. Smith K. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 10. Ojeda M. 7. Enrique R.
Substitutes
3. Girdwood-Reich J. 39. Lundt B. (G) 80. McSorley B. 27. Morales A. 45. Silva X. 6. Wallem C. 13. Wentzel M. 15. Yaro J. 71. Zalinsky J.	65. Caraballo G. 59. Ellis J. 25. Guske C. 9. Muriel L. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 11. Rodriguez N. 96. Taifi Z. 68. Williams T.
Coaches
Critchley D.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A), Angulo I. (A2)
9', 0 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽,
22', 0 - 3, Enrique R. ⚽, Atuesta E. (A),
40', 1 - 3, Becher S. ⚽, Totland T. (A), Burki R. (A2)
45+3', 2 - 3, Joao Klauss ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Watts A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
67', Reid J. 🟨,
68', Angulo I. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
68', Totland T. ↓, Zalinsky J. ↑,
69', Teuchert C. ↓, Wallem C. ↑,
76', Becher S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
82', 2 - 4, Pasalic M. ⚽,
83', Baumgartl T. ↓, Wentzel M. ↑,
84', Pasalic M. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
90', Wentzel M. 🟨,
90+1', Ojeda M. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
90+1', Enrique R. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orlando City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Wallem C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
14.06.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
08.06.25	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Minnesota United - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL
- Orlando City
MLS
14.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Atlanta United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Orlando City - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.08.23	Orlando City - St. Louis City	2:1

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