Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	SPFL Player


	Stranraer		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.25
	1.85	3.60	3.30
	1.95	3.55	3.2
	2.07	3.54	3.21
	1.97	3.7	3.24	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.1
	2.05	4.04	3.18
	1.96	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)	3.64 ↑ (3.54)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
46.5%

Draw
25.1%

Edinburgh City
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Stranraer - Edinburgh City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stranraer will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Edinburgh City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 5. Nair K. 22. Coll B. (C) 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 12. Traynor A. 11. Healy A. 24. Mason S. 16. Dobbie L.	1. Weir M. (G) 5. Grigor J. 23. McGregor J. (C) 21. Rowe F. 2. McGinn C. 6. Leitch J. 24. Foster K. 10. Jarvis J. 18. Aiken M. 7. Walker L. 11. Lawson I.
Substitutes
20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E. 10. Plank D. 6. Stuart J.	16. Allen G. 17. Bunker C. 22. Dowie S. (G) 25. Glasgow E. 8. Leitch R. 20. North T. 4. Pitt C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', McGregor J. 🟨,
36', Leitch J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McManus D. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
46', Walker L. ↓, Leitch R. ↑,
46', Foster K. ↓, North T. ↑,
47', Lawson I. 🟨,
60', McGinn C. 🟨,
67', Traynor A. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
71', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
71', Healy A. ↓, Plank D. ↑,
75', McGinn C. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
78', Lawson I. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
78', Grigor J. ↓, Allen G. ↑,
81', Aiken M. 🟨,
83', Quigg A. 🟨,
85', Coll B. 🟨,
89', Allen G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stranraer holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stranraer has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:29 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stranraer against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 0.8:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.41% Edinburgh City: 11.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
8	Edinburgh City	9	4	3	2	19:15	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Stranraer - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Edinburgh City - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	Berwick Rangers - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Stranraer - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Formartine United - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Edinburgh City - Dundee United 2	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	7:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Edinburgh City - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:2
Scottish League Two
07.03.26	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	4:1
03.01.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	1:1
18.10.25	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	1:3
09.08.25	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	1:2
Scottish League Cup
19.07.25	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	1:0 penalties
Scottish League Two
19.04.25	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	2:0

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