Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Armenia	20:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Brazil	13:15	Caze TV
Canada	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
China	00:15	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	20:15	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Russia	19:15	Okko Sport
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	12:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+
International	16:15	Onefootball


	Rennes		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.35	5.5	7.75
	1.31	5.4	9.7	Watch
	1.32	5.86	10.16
	1.32	5.49	9.02	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.32	5.85	9.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.55 ↑ (4.96)	9.26 ↑ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
72.5%

Draw
17.2%

Metz
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	6.9%	3.4%

Rennes - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rennes will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 17. Szymanski S. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E. 70. Nordin A.	61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 5. Gbamin J. 12. Toure A. 70. Sarr B. 20. Deminguet J. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 18. Nagida M. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 11. Tamari M. 77. Zabiri Y.	9. Abuashvili G. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 40. Ba O. (G) 1. Fischer J. (G) 11. Kvilitaia G. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 19. Michal L. 33. Munongo B.
Coaches
Haise F.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Toure A. 🟨,
33', Rouault A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
67', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
67', Nordin A. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
74', Blas L. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
78', Yegbe T. 🟨,
80', Deminguet J. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
85', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
85', Camara M. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
88', Sane S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 5.

Rennes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rennes is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Rosier L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Injury) Traore B. (Injury)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:9. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Metz - Toulouse	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1
04.05.24	Metz - Rennes	2:3
13.08.23	Rennes - Metz	5:1
20.03.22	Rennes - Metz	6:1
17.10.21	Metz - Rennes	0:3
20.03.21	Metz - Rennes	1:3
23.12.20	Rennes - Metz	1:0

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