Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Rennes		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.35	5.5	7.75
	1.31	5.4	9.7	Watch
	1.32	5.86	10.16
	1.32	5.49	9.02	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.32	5.85	9.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.55 ↑ (4.96)	9.26 ↑ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
72.5%

Draw
17.2%

Metz
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	6.9%	3.4%

Rennes - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rennes will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 17. Szymanski S. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E. 70. Nordin A.	61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 5. Gbamin J. 12. Toure A. 70. Sarr B. 20. Deminguet J. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 18. Nagida M. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 11. Tamari M. 77. Zabiri Y.	9. Abuashvili G. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 40. Ba O. (G) 1. Fischer J. (G) 11. Kvilitaia G. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 19. Michal L. 33. Munongo B.
Coaches
Haise F.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Toure A. 🟨,
33', Rouault A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
67', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
67', Nordin A. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
74', Blas L. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
78', Yegbe T. 🟨,
80', Deminguet J. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
85', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
85', Camara M. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
88', Sane S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 5.

Rennes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rennes is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Rosier L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Injury) Traore B. (Injury)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:9. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Metz - Toulouse	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1
04.05.24	Metz - Rennes	2:3
13.08.23	Rennes - Metz	5:1
20.03.22	Rennes - Metz	6:1
17.10.21	Metz - Rennes	0:3
20.03.21	Metz - Rennes	1:3
23.12.20	Rennes - Metz	1:0

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