Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria News, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport News, WOW
Russia	Okko Sport
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1


	Stuttgart		Luzern

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.95	6.3
	1.43	5.18	5.59	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6
	1.46	4.87	5.64	Watch
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.88 ↑ (4.2)	6.11 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
66%

Draw
18.9%

Luzern
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

20.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stuttgart - Luzern Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 30. Andres C. 24. Chabot J. 17. Diehl J. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 20. Stergiou L. 6. Stiller A. 26. Undav D. (C) 4. Vagnoman J.	1. Loretz P. (G) 6. Abe T. 22. Dantas R. 11. Di Giusto M. 20. Dorn P. (C) 46. Freimann B. 9. Grbic A. 16. Kabwit O. 5. Knezevic S. 73. Silva Ferreira L. M. 7. Spadanuda K.
Substitutes
22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 5. Catovic M. 9. Demirovic E. 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. . Knezevic I. 18. Leweling J. . Meyer L. . Redzepi E. 15. Stenzel P.	4. Bajrami A. 18. Bock J. (G) 14. Ciganiks A. 10. Karweina S. 2. Ottiger S. 45. Sadikaj E. 19. Vasovic A. 27. Villiger L. 29. Winkler L. 39. Wyss S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Diehl J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Nubel A. ↓, Bredlow F. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Fuhrich C. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Villiger L. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Vasovic A. ⚽,

Preview

Stuttgart is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luzern is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Stuttgart - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLW
- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
21.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	0:4 ✺
17.12.25	Luzern - Basel	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Young Boys - Luzern	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Thun - Luzern	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Luzern - Winterthur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.24	Luzern - Stuttgart	0:0
16.12.22	Stuttgart - Luzern	0:3
25.01.17	Stuttgart - Luzern	3:0

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