Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Sud América		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4	3.4	1.83
	4.1	3.3	1.78
	4	3.45	1.78
	4.5	3.73	1.83
	4.2	3.3	1.78
	4.15	3.68	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.86)	3.47 ↓ (3.56)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sud América
22.1%

Draw
26.6%

Liverpool Montevideo
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.8%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.5%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Sud América is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Liverpool is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sud América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sud América won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.10.21	Cerrito - Sud América	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Sud América - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
22.08.21	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLT
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
13.09.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.06.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	5:0
19.11.17	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	2:4
23.04.17	Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2
20.11.16	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	1:1
09.04.16	Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo	0:3
04.10.15	Liverpool Montevideo - Sud América	1:0
15.03.14	Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1

Sud América - Liverpool Montevideo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide