Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Sud América		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.45	Watch
	5.75	4	1.51
	6.5	4.1	1.4
	5.6	3.95	1.5
	6.88	4.22	1.53
	6.5	3.8	1.47
	6.2	4.2	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↓ (6.52)	4.04 ↓ (4.19)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sud América
14.9%

Draw
22.8%

Nacional Montevideo
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

13%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sud América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sud América - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Sud América is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nacional is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sud América won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Sud América won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Sud América - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
22.08.21	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Rentistas - Sud América	1:2 ✺
09.08.21	Sud América - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLTWW
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.21	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Nacional Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Cerrito - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.05.21	Nacional Montevideo - Sud América	1:0
03.12.17	Sud América - Nacional Montevideo	3:2
01.07.17	Sud América - Nacional Montevideo	0:3
13.05.17	Nacional Montevideo - Sud América	4:3
16.10.16	Nacional Montevideo - Sud América	1:0
30.04.16	Sud América - Nacional Montevideo	1:1
24.10.15	Nacional Montevideo - Sud América	1:2

Upcoming Matches