Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Sunderland		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5.25
	1.44	4.69	6.9	Watch
	1.45	4.55	7.52
	1.48	4.42	6.71	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.54	4.61	6.14	Watch
	1.44	4.69	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)	4.46 ↑ (3.86)	6.43 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
63.7%

Draw
21.4%

Queens Park Rangers
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1 - Sunderland (1.86) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - QPR (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 12 - 92.3%). QPR (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 7. Bellingham J. 4. Neil D. (C) 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E.	13. Walsh J. (G) 3. Dunne J. (C) 16. Morrison L. 17. Edwards R. 20. Ashby H. 40. Varane J. 4. Colback J. 10. Chair I. 24. Madsen N. 7. Dembele K. 12. Frey M.
Substitutes
20. Abdul Samed S. 30. Aleksic M. 5. Ballard D. 8. Browne A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 40. Watson T.	25. Andersen L. 27. Bennie D. 38. Esquerdinha 15. Fox M. 26. Kolli R. 21. Morgan K. 34. Murphy H. 41. Shepperd N. (G) 36. Sutton E.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Madsen N. ⚽, Ashby H. (A),
29', Neil D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chair I. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
55', O'Nien L. 🟨,
56', Kolli R. 🟨,
60', Mepham C. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
62', Colback J. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
73', Dembele K. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
74', Madsen N. 🟨,
75', Rigg C. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
75', Neil D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90+4', Madsen N. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
90+4', Frey M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 2.

Sunderland has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

QPR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sunderland is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Celar Z. (Knock) Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Cook S. (Injury) Field S. (Ankle Injury) Lloyd A. (Injury) Saito K. (Injury) Vale H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in QPR: Kolli R. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
26.04.25	Oxford United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sunderland - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Norwich City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
26.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:5 ✺
21.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:0
16.03.24	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
16.09.23	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	1:3
14.02.23	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:3
13.08.22	Sunderland - Queens Park Rangers	2:2
English League Cup
26.10.21	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:1 penalties
English League Championship
10.03.18	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	1:0

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