Match Info

Championship - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Sunderland		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.6
	2.17	3.24	3.53	Watch
	2.19	3.38	3.55
	2.04	3.33	3.84	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	2.08	3.46	3.55	Watch
	2.17	3.24	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.54)	3.37 ↓ (4.19)	3.83 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
46.7%

Draw
28.3%

Blackburn Rovers
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland's form might have worsened.

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackburn Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Blackburn (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Blackburn (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Blackburn (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 8. Browne A. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. (C) 45. Anderson J. 20. Abdul Samed S. 7. Bellingham J. 30. Aleksic M. 50. Jones H. 40. Watson T. 18. Isidor W.	12. Toth B. (G) 2. Brittain C. 5. Hyam D. 15. Batth D. 4. Ribeiro Y. 6. Tronstad S. 27. Travis L. (C) 10. Dolan T. 45. Woodrow C. 19. Hedges R. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
51. Bainbridge O. 33. Hjelde L. F. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 55. Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G) 4. Neil D. 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P.	21. Buckley J. 28. Forshaw A. 9. Gueye M. 51. Montgomery K. 1. Pears A. (G) 3. Pickering H. 11. Rankin-Costello J. 31. Sanderson D. 32. Tyjon I.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Ismael V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Dolan T. ⚽, Woodrow C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Brittain C. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
64', Jones H. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
65', Aleksic M. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
65', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
73', Hedges R. 🟨,
75', Ohashi Y. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
75', Dolan T. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
75', Hedges R. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
78', Watson T. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
82', Rigg C. 🟨,
82', Forshaw A. 🟨,
85', Woodrow C. ↓, Tyjon I. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Cirkin D. (Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Hume T. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Carter H. (Calf Injury) Dennis E. (Injury) Kargbo A. (Hamstring Injury) Leonard H. (Injury) Weimann A. (Knee Injury) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.3:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
18.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sunderland - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Norwich City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sunderland - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
18.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Luton Town - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.24	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:2
01.04.24	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	1:5
20.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	1:3
26.12.22	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	2:1
18.10.22	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:0
English Premier League
20.03.12	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:0

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