Match Info

Championship - Round 41

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 5
Brazil	13:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 5
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	00:30	myTV SUPER
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	22:00	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	12:30	ESPN 5
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV4
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	18:30	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Turkey	19:30	Exxen
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Swansea City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.86	Watch
	3.69	3.69	1.96	Watch
	3.89	3.77	1.95
	3.67	3.76	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.67	3.58	1.94	Watch
	3.45	3.6	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
25.7%

Draw
25.9%

Middlesbrough
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.5%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	3.7%	70.4%

Swansea City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 41. Parker S. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 7. Widell M. 17. Franco G. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.	31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. (C) 29. Malanda A. 24. Bangura A. 8. McGree R. 16. Browne A. 18. Morris A. 45. Sarmiento J. 9. Conway T. 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
1. Fisher A. (G) 18. Gustavo Nunes 33. Idah A. 35. Ronald 23. Santos R. 6. Stamenic M. 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.	25. Edmundson G. 6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 28. McCabe L. 15. Munroe F. 20. Sene M. K. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bangura A. ⚽, Conway T. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Bangura A. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 1, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', McGree R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Franco G. 🟨,
56', Franco G. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
56', Widell M. ↓, Ronald ↑,
56', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
62', Browne A. 🟨,
65', Eom J. 🟨,
66', Sarmiento J. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
66', McGree R. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
66', Strelec D. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
72', Parker S. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Conway T. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Fulton J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
81', Munroe F. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
90', Conway T. 🟨,
90+5', Yalcouye M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	3	23

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.26% Swansea: 7.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Middlesbrough - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.46%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
03.04.26	Sheffield United - Swansea City	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Wrexham - Swansea City	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Portsmouth - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
03.04.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Middlesbrough - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.08.25	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0
08.03.25	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:0
10.08.24	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0
06.04.24	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	2:0
16.12.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:2
11.03.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:3
27.08.22	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	2:1

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