Match Info

Championship - Round 38

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.28	3.36	3.16
	2.34	3.4	3.23
	2.28	3.38	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.29	3.36	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.34 ↓ (3.53)	3.17 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
41.8%

Draw
28.4%

Swansea City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.2%	7.3%	19.5%

Wrexham - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Swansea will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wrexham (1.65) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Wrexham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Swansea (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 26. Vyner Z. 27. O'Brien L. 14. Thomason G. 20. Rathbone O. 33. Broadhead N. 28. Smith S.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 30. Galbraith E. 35. Ronald 9. Vipotnik Z. 18. Gustavo Nunes
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 3. Brunt L. 11. Cadamarteri B. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 16. Rodriguez J. 24. Scarr D. 21. Ward D. (G) 10. Windass J.	20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. ⚽, Doyle C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Ronald ↓, Eom J. ↑,
59', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
59', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
62', Yalcouye M. 🟨,
67', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
74', Stamenic M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
77', Tymon J. 🟨,
82', Tymon J. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
85', Smith S. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Cullen L. (Own goal),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Wrexham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Swansea is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Wrexham has had a series of home games.

Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: James A. (Injury) James M. (Inactive) O'Connor T. (Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Vipotnik Z. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.34% Wrexham: 4.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
10.03.26	Wrexham - Hull City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Wrexham - Chelsea	2:4 ET ✺
English League Championship
28.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Wrexham - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
10.03.26	Portsmouth - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ipswich Town - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1

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