Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 14

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Millwall TV, Sky Sports+


	Millwall		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.33	3.3	1.9
	4.26	3.35	1.93	Watch
	4.5	3.43	1.94
	3.99	3.36	1.99	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.91
	4.25	3.44	1.9	Watch
	4.26	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.9)	3.37 ↓ (3.75)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
22.2%

Draw
28.3%

Leeds United
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.3%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	21.5%	72.3%

Millwall - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 47 - 73.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 62.6% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 2. McNamara D. 14. Wintle R. 23. Saville G. 25. Esse R. 39. Honeyman G. 19. Watmore D. 17. Langstaff M.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 29. Gnonto W. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
11. Azeez F. 21. Coburn J. 24. De Norre C. 22. Emakhu A. 4. Hutchinson S. 26. Ivanovic M. 16. Kelly D. 13. Roberts L. (G) 3. Wallace M.	9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 33. Schmidt I. 14. Solomon M. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Harris N.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Tanganga J. ⚽, Cooper J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Tanganga J. 🟨,
62', Langstaff M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
62', Watmore D. ↓, De Norre C. ↑,
64', Honeyman G. 🟨,
72', Rothwell J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
78', Esse R. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
80', Gnonto W. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
81', Bogle J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
87', Firpo J. 🟨,
90+2', Wintle R. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Leeds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Millwall: Bradshaw T. (Muscle Injury) Bryan J. (Yellow Cards) Coburn J. (Knock) Mitchell B. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury) Ramazani L. (Ankle Injury) Wober M. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Millwall won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
03.11.24	Millwall - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Millwall - Derby County	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWTT
- Leeds United
English League Championship
02.11.24	Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Bristol City - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leeds United - Watford	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Leeds United - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.03.24	Leeds United - Millwall	2:0
17.09.23	Millwall - Leeds United	0:3
28.01.20	Leeds United - Millwall	3:2
05.10.19	Millwall - Leeds United	2:1
30.03.19	Leeds United - Millwall	3:2
15.09.18	Millwall - Leeds United	1:1
20.01.18	Leeds United - Millwall	3:4

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