The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 62.4%
Draw 24.1%
Scunthorpe United 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
27.1%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
17.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-27.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 9 (8.26%), has project points - 69, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (63.21%), has project points - 35, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team has got a line of lost games.
Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Port Vale is indisputable favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.