The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Técnico Universitario 30.7%
Draw 30.2%
Mushuc Runa 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
30%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
30%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Técnico Universitario's form might have worsened.
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mushuc Runa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Técnico Univ (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 13. Anaya J. 4. Cordova 53. Chilla R. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 33. Majao J. 19. Castillo A. 25. Delgado B. 70. Castano M. 9. Guardia H. 7. Estupinan L. (C)
25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 4. Biojo R. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 99. Angulo C. 8. Zambrano A. 5. Davila E. 28. Perea M. 30. Ibarra R. 7. Minda T.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 15. Castillo F. 60. Freire S. 77. Garcia C. 10. Johan Bocanegra 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
11. Bazan N. 53. Braye J. 14. Caicedo E. 61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 19. Corozo B. 2. Flor F. 23. Lemos L. 52. Merino D. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G) 9. Tufino R.
Coaches
Redin B.
Velez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ibarra R. ⚽, Peralta K. (A),
22', Razzeto S. 🟥,
27', Delgado B. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
30', Peralta K. 🟨,
33', Castillo A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Ibarra R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Peralta K. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
46', Estupinan L. ↓, Johan Bocanegra ↑,
46', Majao J. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
52', Zambrano A. 🟨,
53', Zambrano A. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,
60', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
71', Perea M. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
71', Cusme J. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
72', Minda T. ↓, Tufino R. ↑,
72', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
74', Guardia H. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Angulo C. ⚽, Ibarra R. (A),
90', Davila E. 🟨,
90+2', Anaya J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.
Técnico Univ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mushuc Runa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Razzeto S. (G) 
Anaya J. 
Cordova 
Guardia H. 
Formento R. (C) 
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