The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tarxien Rainbows 23.2%
Draw 27.6%
Gżira United 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
22.4%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
21.7%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gżira United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gżira United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tarxien Rainbows - Gżira United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Spiteri M. (G) 10. Claudio Murici 4. D'Alessandro M. (C) 6. Kuku A. 9. Lokosa A. 33. Musulin M. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P. 7. Valverde A. 74. Vella A. 8. Wesley Hudson
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 96. Stojanovic M.
Substitutes
17. Bird N. 22. Bird T. 20. Borg L. 21. Carbonaro K. 1. Cassar A. (G) 11. Erico Junior 88. Gatt K. 95. Lubik A. (G) 18. Mizzi S. 27. Mosquera Y. 37. Salnitro K.
28. Cassar N. 29. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 4. Previ A. 24. Roh S. 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Scerri J.
Abdilla D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Valverde A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Bonilla J. ⚽,
45', Wesley Hudson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wesley Hudson ↓, Borg L. ↑,
56', Riascos L. 🟨,
70', Musulin M. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
71', Lokosa A. 🟨,
72', Stojanovic M. 🟥,
74', Bastic S. ↓, Kante ↑,
74', Borg B. ↓, Van de Bovenkamp M. ↑,
77', Nhayson 🟨,
79', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
82', Bonilla J. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
89', Kante 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Kante ⚽,
90+2', Kante 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 0.
Tarxien is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Gżira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gżira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tarxien has had a series of away games.
In this match, Gżira is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).