Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.6	3.8
	1.85	3.55	3.65	Watch
	1.9	3.87	3.89
	1.89	3.89	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.84	3.76	3.86	Watch
	1.78	3.66	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.68 ↑ (3.62)	3.7 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
50.2%

Draw
25%

Tapatío
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 24. Cardona U. 26. Dominguez I. 7. Escoto A. 5. Gonzalez K. 10. Guzman W. 19. Islas O. 2. Pinela M. 6. Ruiz A. 20. Samano L.	201. Liceaga J. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 56. Chavez A. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 192. Hernandez C. 225. Inda C. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 49. Moragrega V. 62. Tellez B. 44. Zamora S. (C)
Substitutes
145. Gomez G. 18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 140. Iniguez O. 29. Mendoza B. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 11. Reyes J. 8. Samano Salgado F. 30. Talavera J.	46. Egurrola L. 55. Esparza S. 54. Freyfeld E. 57. Hernandez J. 51. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 43. Parra R. 58. Uribe J. 69. Villaseca D.
Coaches
Pereyra G.	Melendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
45', Samano L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Aguayo S. 🟨,
59', Aguayo S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
59', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
63', Islas O. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
63', Guzman W. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
64', Inda C. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
69', Hernandez C. 🟨,
73', Samano L. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
78', Escoto A. 🟨,
78', Hernandez C. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
78', Moragrega V. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
79', Ledesma L. 🟨,
81', Ledesma L. 🟨,
90+1', Escoto A. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Samano Salgado F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2.

In this match, Tepatitlán is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tapatio	11	4	2	5	19:19	0	14
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	11	2	1	8	9:30	-21	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.01.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTLLT
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.01.26	Tapatío - Venados	4:2 ✺
09.01.26	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tapatío - Dorados	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Irapuato - Tapatío	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.08.25	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:3
14.02.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	1:0
10.11.24	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1
07.11.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	1:1
01.09.24	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:0
23.03.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	0:4
24.09.23	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:2

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