Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)


	The New Saints		Dundee

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.87
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.38	3.6	2.55
	2.18	3.4	2.8
	2.26	3.59	2.96
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.25	3.58	2.89	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.59)	3.52 ↑ (3.49)	2.75 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
40.6%

Draw
26%

Dundee
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The New Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

The New Saints - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Dundee will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

TNS in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Dundee is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
17.09.22	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	0:7 ✺
03.09.22	Pontypridd United - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
30.08.22	Aberystwyth Town - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
26.08.22	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
17.09.22	Dundee - Inverness	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Dundee - Queens Park	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
30.08.22	Dundee - Falkirk	3:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
26.08.22	Ayr United - Dundee	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Greenock Morton - Dundee	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLT

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