Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🔴 Live Now

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport 8
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	15:00	Sport 2
International	13:00	Sport 2 Baltic


	Thun		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.90	1.76	Watch
	3.60	4.10	1.82
	3.60	3.95	1.84
	3.71	4.35	1.87
	3.78	4.44	1.78	Watch
	3.65	4.30	1.84
	3.74	4.15	1.78	Watch
	3.70	4.20	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.44)	4.17 ↓ (4.2)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
25.4%

Draw
22.6%

Lugano
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

22.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Thun - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lugano (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lugano (1.91) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 54. Passavant L. 5. Burgy N. 18. Strannegard T. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 13. Zoukit N. 30. Maier N. 9. Dursun F. 96. Labeau B. (C)	16. von Ballmoos D. (C) 4. Kelvin D. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 2. Karimov B. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 21. Cimignani Y. 30. Moncada D. 91. Behrens K. 24. Pihlstrom E.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 20. Braschi R. 26. Christoffersson N. 37. Dahler L. 52. Ilic A. 14. Kait M. 15. Kristal P. 80. Lengen S. 25. Spycher T. (G)	9. Ajeti Al. 7. Alioski E. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 27. Dos Santos D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Kendouci A. 26. Marques M. 46. Zanotti M.
Coaches
Privitelli G. L.	Croci-Torti M.

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.

Thun has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lugano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lugano holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Thun: Bamert J. (Red Card) Gutbub M. (Knock) Montolio G. (Knee Injury) Saiz F. (Inactive) Seiler M. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lugano: Cassano C. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Thun has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:32 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Thun against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:17 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31:7	24	28
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 46.5% Thun: 0.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Thun - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.10.26	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Twente - Thun	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.10.26	Zürich - Thun	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Thun - Kriens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW
- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Getafe - Lugano	2:5 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.10.26	Pully - Lugano	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Lugano - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.10.26	Lugano - Luzern	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Lugano - Verona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
25.04.26	Thun - Lugano	0:1
04.04.26	Lugano - Thun	1:0
22.11.25	Thun - Lugano	0:1
27.07.25	Lugano - Thun	1:2
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Lugano - Thun	2:4
Swiss Cup
10.02.22	Thun - Lugano	3:4
Swiss Super League
15.07.20	Lugano - Thun	1:1

Thun - Lugano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide