Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Play In - Semi-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Tijuana		Juárez

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.35	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.4	3.25
	2.10	3.59	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3.32	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tijuana
43.1%

Draw
27.9%

Juárez
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Tijuana - Juárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 10. Castaneda K. 16. Vega A. 4. Bilbao U. 3. Inzunza R. 17. Arciga R. 8. Tona I. 6. Gomez A. 27. Blanco D. 19. Mora G. 21. El Ghezouani M.	1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 26. Manriquez J. 2. Murillo J. 4. Mayorga A. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 9. Madson 8. Guilherme Castilho 17. Pizarro R. 13. Fulgencio R. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
20. Bullaude E. 15. Corona J. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 18. Mejia A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 187. Padilla G. 11. Preciado A. 13. Reyes J. 7. Vitinho	24. Diaz B. (G) 237. Lopez E. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 14. Ochoa D. 11. Puma 21. Ricardinho 183. Silva L. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Estupinan O. 🟨,
9', El Ghezouani M. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Mayorga A. (A),
31', 1 - 1, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
45+2', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fulgencio R. ↓, Puma ↑,
52', Tona I. 🟨,
54', Mayorga A. 🟥,
59', 2 - 1, Mora G. (Pen),
60', Pizarro R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
67', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
74', Garcia D. 🟨,
74', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
74', Madson ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
77', Mora G. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
77', Blanco D. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
77', Inzunza R. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
80', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
90', Castaneda K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Bullaude E. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
90+4', Tona I. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Recent form of Tijuana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juárez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tijuana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
07.11.25	Tijuana - Atlas	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	UNAM - Tijuana	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Tijuana - Toluca	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Puebla - Tijuana	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL
- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
07.11.25	Juárez - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Juárez - Puebla	4:4 ✺
21.10.25	Monterrey - Juárez	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Tijuana - Juárez	1:1
14.02.25	Tijuana - Juárez	1:2
06.11.24	Juárez - Tijuana	1:1
14.04.24	Juárez - Tijuana	0:1
29.09.23	Tijuana - Juárez	5:1
14.01.23	Juárez - Tijuana	3:0
08.07.22	Tijuana - Juárez	0:2

Upcoming Matches