Match Info

JAPAN: EMPERORS CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.8	3.45	4
	1.97	3.59	3.86
	2	3.3	3.3
	1.93	3.66	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.33)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	3.69 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
48.1%

Draw
26.8%

Roasso Kumamoto
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.3%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo's performance.

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roasso Kumamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roasso Kumamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tokyo - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 28 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 9. Diego Oliveira (C) 44. Henrique Trevisan 4. Kimoto Y. 37. Koizumi K. 7. Matsuki K. 5. Nagatomo Y. 99. Shirai K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 35. Tsukagawa K. 11. Watanabe R.	1. Tashiro R. (G) 24. Ezaki T. 17. Hirakawa R. (C) 10. Ito S. 8. Kamimura S. 2. Kuroki K. 16. Matsuoka R. 9. Omoto Y. 3. Onishi R. 19. Shimamura T. 14. Takemoto Y.
Substitutes
15. Adailton 32. Doi K. 10. Higashi K. 1. Kodama T. (G) 42. Nozawa L. 22. Perotti 17. Tokumoto S.	11. Aihara S. 4. Fujita I. 30. Higashiyama T. 29. Michiwaki Y. 32. Sakai T. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Tanabe K.
Coaches
Cklamovski P.	Oki T.

Preview

Tokyo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kumamoto is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kumamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tokyo have a series of home games.

Tokyo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
16.07.23	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
08.07.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
29.07.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	4:1 ✺
24.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWT

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