Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Tondela		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.4
	1.74	3.8	4.35
	1.8	3.55	4.3
	1.72	4.01	5.02
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.78	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	4.62 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
54%

Draw
25.6%

Boavista
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tondela's performance.

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tondela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	7.7%	42.3%

Tondela - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 26 - 50%). Boavista will win (votes: 22 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 36.4% – 63.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Tondela has the most likely position - 17 (100%), has project points - 28, has currently - 28, was already of relegated.

Boavista has the most likely position - 11 (66.33%), has project points - 38, has currently - 38, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 40, importance 40, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tondela won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
08.05.22	Gil Vicente - Tondela	3:0 ✺
02.05.22	Paços de Ferreira - Tondela	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Tondela - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.04.22	Mafra - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.04.22	Moreirense - Tondela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
06.05.22	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Moreirense - Boavista	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
16.04.22	Marítimo - Boavista	4:0 ✺
09.04.22	Boavista - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.01.22	Boavista - Tondela	1:1
07.05.21	Boavista - Tondela	1:1

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