Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Tondela		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.16	3.13	3.53
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.14	3.26	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	3.42 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
43.3%

Draw
29.7%

Marítimo
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tondela - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 48. Manso T. 8. Tavares H. 97. Cicero 18. Talocha 30. Ramos R. 17. Roberto 11. Costinha	99. Tabuaco G. (G) 21. Domingos T. 44. Correia R. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 45. Fabio China (C) 18. Danilovic V. 98. Ibrahima 48. Costa da Silva M. 16. Carlos Daniel 79. Tavares M. 7. Blanco F.
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 21. Maranhao 60. Maviram E. 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G) 7. Xavier	88. Andrade R. 46. Benchi D. 9. Borukov P. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 17. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 10. Gomes B. 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 1. Samu (G)
Coaches
Pinto L.	Vieira I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Alves R. 🟨,
19', Cicero 🟨,
45+1', Fabio China 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cicero ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
60', Roberto (Pen),
61', Ramos R. ↓, Xavier ↑,
66', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
67', Manso T. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
80', Ceitil A. 🟨,
80', Tavares M. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
80', Costa da Silva M. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
87', Borukov P. 🟨,
88', Fabio China ↓, Igor Juliao ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 2.

Recent matches Tondela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tondela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tondela won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:33 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Tondela - Leiria	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	Chaves - Tondela	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Tondela - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Vizela - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWT
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.25	Vizela - Marítimo	3:2 ✺
29.12.24	Marítimo - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Marítimo - Torreense	0:3 ✺
08.12.24	Mafra - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Marítimo - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.24	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2
10.03.24	Tondela - Marítimo	0:3
28.10.23	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2
Liga Portugal
03.04.22	Marítimo - Tondela	1:3
07.11.21	Tondela - Marítimo	4:2
16.02.21	Tondela - Marítimo	2:1
26.09.20	Marítimo - Tondela	2:1

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