The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chaves 39.4%
Draw 31.3%
Tondela 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.8%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.2%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chaves's form might have worsened.
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Chaves - Tondela Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 15. Carraca (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 40. Pius J. 5. Romero A. 11. Pelagio P. 14. Wilson R. 88. Pina R. 8. Pinho P. 10. Sanca L. 95. Ayongo P.
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 60. Maviram E. 8. Tavares H. 97. Cicero 48. Manso T. 11. Costinha 21. Maranhao 17. Roberto
Substitutes
13. Fernandes V. 23. Gomes R. 99. Jo 12. Ktatau 17. Kusso D. 31. Moura R. (G) 29. Platiny 20. Ricardo A. 19. Tiago Almeida
23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G) 18. Talocha 3. Tavares D.
Coaches
Alves M.
Pinto L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Pius J. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Manso T. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Bruno Rodrigues ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Pinho P. ⚽,
60', Alves R. ↓, Miro ↑,
61', Maviram E. ↓, Talocha ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Miro ⚽,
66', Pina R. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
66', Ayongo P. ↓, Jo ↑,
73', Costinha ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
76', Pelagio P. ↓, Ricardo A. ↑,
81', Maranhao 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', Tavares H. 🟨,
87', Sanca L. ↓, Platiny ↑,
87', Pinho P. ↓, Ktatau ↑,
90', Cicero 🟨,
90', Tavares H. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
90+1', Roberto ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2.
Recent matches Chaves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tondela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Chaves have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Chaves won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.2:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
Portugal
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Vozinha (G) 
Carraca (C) 
Pius J. 
Romero A. 
Wilson R. 
Ayongo P. 
Bernardo (G) 
Kusso D. 
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