Match Info

CANADA: Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	19:00	FuboTV, OneSoccer
Puerto Rico	19:00	Fox Sports 2
Usa	19:00	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV


	Toronto FC		Forge

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.4	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.38	6.37
	1.45	4.37	6.77	Watch
	1.4	4.3	6.67
	1.4	4.33	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)	6.47 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Canadian Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
64.7%

Draw
21.2%

Forge
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Toronto FC - Forge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 28. Petretta R. 15. Gomis N. 47. Thompson K. 11. Etienne D. 21. Osorio J. 22. Laryea R. 30. Wingo H. 10. Bernardeschi F. 99. Owusu P. 24. Insigne L.	16. Koleilat J. (G) 2. Duncan M. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 23. Metusala G. 17. Parra D. 10. Bekker K. (C) 21. Hojabrpour A. 7. Choiniere D. 19. Borges T. 39. Badibanga B. 9. Hamilton J.
Substitutes
20. Flores D. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 5. Long K. 8. Longstaff M. 6. Mabika A. 16. Spicer T.	11. Ampomah N. 14. Campbell T. 22. Jensen N. 29. Kalongo C. (G) 81. Owolabi-Belewu M. 4. Samuel D. 88. Schiavoni M.
Coaches
Herdman J.	Smyrniotis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Insigne L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),
62', Insigne L. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
62', Gomis N. ↓, Long K. ↑,
63', Borges T. ↓, Ampomah N. ↑,
64', Choiniere D. 🟨,
65', Etienne D. 🟨,
66', Wingo H. 🟨,
72', Hamilton J. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
72', Choiniere D. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
72', Owusu P. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
80', Bekker K. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
84', Franklin K. 🟨,
86', Thompson K. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
89', Achinioti-Jonsson A. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.

In this match Toronto is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Toronto to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toronto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
24.08.24	Houston Dynamo - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
08.08.24	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	4:3 ✺
04.08.24	Pachuca - Toronto FC	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
20.07.24	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WLWWW
- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
23.08.24	Inter Toronto - Forge	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Vancouver FC - Forge	1:2 ✺
14.08.24	Forge - HFX Wanderers	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	3:0 ✺
04.08.24	Valour - Forge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Championship
10.07.24	Forge - Toronto FC	2:1
04.06.22	Forge - Toronto FC	1:2 penalties

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