Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto)

Referee: Dujic F. (Usa)


	Toronto FC		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	2.95	3.55	2.25
	3.17	3.72	2.25
	2.88	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.7	2.18	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.08)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	2.21 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
31.3%

Draw
26.3%

St. Louis City
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Toronto FC - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Romero T. (G) 19. Franklin K. 27. O'Neill S. 6. Mabika A. 28. Petretta R. 29. Kerr D. 23. Servania B. 14. Kaye M. 7. Marshall-Rutty J. 20. Akinola A. 9. Sapong C.	1. Burki R. (G) 20. Watts A. 15. Yaro J. 26. Parker T. 22. Hiebert K. 19. Vassilev I. 6. Blom N. 25. Jackson A. 8. Stroud J. 11. Gioacchini N. 16. Adeniran S.
Substitutes
81. Antonoglou T. 73. Batiz J. 71. Cimermancic M. 52. Coello A. 83. Mbongue H. 51. Pearlman A. 77. Perruzza J. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 47. Thompson K.	21. Alm R. 24. Bartlett L. A. 30. Jensen I. 39. Lundt B. (G) 14. Nelson J. 2. Nerwinski J. 7. Ostrak T. 28. Perez M. 12. Pompeu C.
Coaches
Dunfield T.	Carnell B.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Toronto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches St. Louis City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Louis City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Red Card) Bradley M. (Muscle Injury) Diomande A. (Leg Injury) Vazquez V. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Joao Klauss (Muscle Injury) Lowen E. (Muscle Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
04.07.23	Orlando City - Toronto FC	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Toronto FC - Real Salt Lake	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	New England Revolution - Toronto FC	2:1 ✺
21.06.23	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
10.06.23	Toronto FC - Nashville SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
01.07.23	St. Louis City - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:3 ✺
17.06.23	Nashville SC - St. Louis City	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLT

Upcoming Matches