What is the expert prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 06, 2025)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Q Sport
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.25	3.7	2.12	Watch
	3.23	3.62	2.25
	3.27	3.64	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.15
	3.29	3.79	2.23
	3.2	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
29.4%

Draw
26.3%

Tottenham Hotspur
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	14.9%	65.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). Tottenham will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 56.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 28. Buurmeester Z. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 23. Lahdo M.	1. Vicario G. (G) 24. Spence D. 4. Danso K. 14. Gray A. 13. Udogie D. 15. Bergvall L. 30. Bentancur R. 10. Maddison J. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 11. Tel M. 22. Johnson B.
Substitutes
14. Belic K. 37. Daal R. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 4. Martins Indi B. 11. Sadiq I. 26. Smit K. 78. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)	40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 47. Moore M. 28. Odobert W. 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. 29. Sarr P. M. 44. Scarlett D. 19. Solanke D. 37. van de Ven M. 41. Whiteman A. (G)
Coaches
Martens M.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Lahdo M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Bergvall L. (Own goal), Parrott T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tel M. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
62', Bentancur R. 🟨,
66', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
66', Kasius D. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
68', Poku E. 🟨,
72', Udogie D. ↓, Porro P. ↑,
72', Son Heung-Min ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
72', Maddison J. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
81', Poku E. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
81', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
81', Parrott T. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
90+2', Solanke D. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
90+4', van Duijn S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

AZ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tottenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tottenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tottenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in AZ: Addai J. (Ankle Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kinsky A. (Inactive) Richarlison (Calf Injury) Romero C. (Thigh Injury) Solanke D. (Knee Injury) Werner T. (Inactive) van de Ven M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Davies B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.02.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
13.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
26.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ipswich Town - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
06.02.25	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	1:0

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