Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Israel	19:45	Sport 1
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	02:45	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	23:45	Q Sport
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, Disney+
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 5
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.25	3.7	2.12	Watch
	3.23	3.62	2.25
	3.27	3.64	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.15
	3.29	3.79	2.23
	3.2	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
29.4%

Draw
26.3%

Tottenham Hotspur
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	14.9%	65.7%

AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). Tottenham will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 56.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 28. Buurmeester Z. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 23. Lahdo M.	1. Vicario G. (G) 24. Spence D. 4. Danso K. 14. Gray A. 13. Udogie D. 15. Bergvall L. 30. Bentancur R. 10. Maddison J. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 11. Tel M. 22. Johnson B.
Substitutes
14. Belic K. 37. Daal R. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 4. Martins Indi B. 11. Sadiq I. 26. Smit K. 78. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)	40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 47. Moore M. 28. Odobert W. 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. 29. Sarr P. M. 44. Scarlett D. 19. Solanke D. 37. van de Ven M. 41. Whiteman A. (G)
Coaches
Martens M.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Lahdo M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Bergvall L. (Own goal), Parrott T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tel M. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
62', Bentancur R. 🟨,
66', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
66', Kasius D. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
68', Poku E. 🟨,
72', Udogie D. ↓, Porro P. ↑,
72', Son Heung-Min ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
72', Maddison J. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
81', Poku E. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
81', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
81', Parrott T. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
90+2', Solanke D. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
90+4', van Duijn S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

AZ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tottenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tottenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tottenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in AZ: Addai J. (Ankle Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kinsky A. (Inactive) Richarlison (Calf Injury) Romero C. (Thigh Injury) Solanke D. (Knee Injury) Werner T. (Inactive) van de Ven M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Davies B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.02.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
13.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
26.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ipswich Town - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.02.25	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
06.02.25	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	1:0

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