Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tottenham Hotspur		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	2.15
	3.05	3.85	2.2
	3.08	4.02	2.24
	3.06	3.96	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.15
	2.91	3.91	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.55)	3.89 ↑ (3.79)	2.21 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
32%

Draw
24.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tottenham Hotspur's form might have worsened.

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brighton & Hove Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.7%	16.3%	49%

Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 16 - 33.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 24 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 35.9% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tottenham (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Tottenham (5.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brighton & Hove (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 13. Udogie D. 8. Bissouma Y. 30. Bentancur R. 22. Gallagher C. 39. Kolo Muani R. 19. Solanke D. 7. Simons X.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 21. Boscagli O. 24. Kadioglu F. 25. Gomez D. 26. Ayari Y. 30. Gross P. 11. Minteh Y. 13. Hinshelwood J. 18. Welbeck D. (C)
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 15. Bergvall L. 3. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 10. Maddison J. 6. Palhinha J. 9. Richarlison 24. Spence D. 11. Tel M.	17. Baleba C. 29. De Cuyper M. 3. Igor 19. Kostoulas C. 22. Mitoma K. 33. O'Riley M. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Gomez D. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
34', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
37', Wieffer M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Porro P. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Mitoma K. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
57', Bissouma Y. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
57', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
65', Danso K. 🟨,
67', Bentancur R. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
75', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
75', Mitoma K. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
76', Gallagher C. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
76', Udogie D. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Simons X. ⚽, Bergvall L. (A),
78', Simons X. 🟨,
82', Ayari Y. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Rutter G. ⚽, van Hecke J. P. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 1.

Tottenham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tottenham: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Knee Injury) Vicario G. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Yellow Cards) Milner J. (Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 3.38% Tottenham: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	13	13
18	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3:9	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
12.04.26	Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Tottenham Hotspur	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWTL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
25.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4
06.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2
10.02.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
28.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	4:2
08.04.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
08.10.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1

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