Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	16:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 4, SÝN Sport 6
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	19:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	16:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Burnley		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.57
	5.6	4.15	1.6
	5.7	4.4	1.62
	4.92	4.31	1.68	Watch
	5	4	1.6
	5.42	4.34	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (4.43)	4.23 ↑ (4.16)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
18%

Draw
22.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
59.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.1%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.7%	6.7%	91.7%

Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Brighton & Hove (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (55 of 60 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.68% – 98.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. (C) 3. Hartman Q. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 16. Florentino 10. Edwards M. 8. Ugochukwu L. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 21. Boscagli O. 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D. (C)
Substitutes
27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 9. Foster L. 23. Lucas Pires 17. Tchaouna L. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 2. Walker K. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.	17. Baleba C. 29. De Cuyper M. 3. Igor 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Parker S.	Crofts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Esteve M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Wieffer M. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
60', Florentino 🟨,
67', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
75', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
75', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
80', Minteh Y. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
82', Florentino ↓, Broja A. ↑,
82', Hartman Q. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
82', Humphreys B. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
88', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Wieffer M. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.

Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brighton & Hove is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Brighton & Hove is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Laurent J. (Red Card) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Dunk L. (Yellow Cards) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Everton - Burnley	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTLLT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
21.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0
13.04.24	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
09.12.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	1:1
19.02.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:3
14.08.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2
06.02.21	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.11.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	0:0

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